activity
20092019
most citedOn the use of simple dynamical systems for climate predictions: A Bayesian prediction of the next glacial inception

42 citations · 56 across the 7 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

9 papers

stat.CO2019

Multi-Scale Process Modelling and Distributed Computation for Spatial Data

Andrew Zammit-Mangion, Jonathan Rougier

Recent years have seen a huge development in spatial modelling and prediction methodology, driven by the increased availability of remote-sensing data and the reduced cost of distr…

math.ST2019

The exact form of the 'Ockham factor' in model selection

Jonathan Rougier, Carey Priebe

We explore the arguments for maximizing the `evidence' as an algorithm for model selection. We show, using a new definition of model complexity which we term `flexibility', that ma…

stat.AP2018

Bayesian model-data synthesis with an application to global Glacio-Isostatic Adjustment

Zhe Sha, Jonathan Rougier, Maike Schumacher +1

We introduce a framework for updating large scale geospatial processes using a model-data synthesis method based on Bayesian hierarchical modelling. Two major challenges come from…

stat.CO2017

A sparse linear algebra algorithm for fast computation of prediction variances with Gaussian Markov random fields

Andrew Zammit-Mangion, Jonathan Rougier

Gaussian Markov random fields are used in a large number of disciplines in machine vision and spatial statistics. The models take advantage of sparsity in matrices introduced throu…

math.ST2017★ 11 cited

A representation theorem for stochastic processes with separable covariance functions, and its implications for emulation

Jonathan Rougier

Many applications require stochastic processes specified on two- or higher-dimensional domains; spatial or spatial-temporal modelling, for example. In these applications it is attr…

stat.ME2017★ 1 cited

Parametric uncertainty in complex environmental models: a cheap emulation approach for models with high-dimensional output

B. Swallow, M. Rigby, J. C. Rougier +3

In order to understand underlying processes governing environmental and physical processes, and predict future outcomes, a complex computer model is frequently required to simulate…