3 papers
econ.GN2026
Beyond Consistent Scenarios: Deriving Indirect Influence, Transition Resistance, and Adjustment Dynamics
Andrew G. Ross, Julia Gershenzon, Andreas Kleefeld
Assessments of structural change and economic transition dynamics, such as those arising in the energy transition, depend on internally consistent qualitative scenarios specifying…
physics.app-ph2026
From transient shocks to unexpected outcomes: disruptive drivers in scenario pathways
Andrew G. Ross
Scenario pathways (e.g. for the energy transition) often use a single trajectory or a band. That is not sufficient when one needs to understand why outcomes differ and under what s…
cs.CY2026
AI-Simulated Expert Panels for Socio-Technical Scenarios and Decision Guidance
Andrew G. Ross, Alan M. Ross
Socio-technical scenarios for net-zero and other transformation pathways combine qualitative storylines with quantitative models, embedding them in plausible societal contexts for…