activity
20142026
most citedShould we build more large dams? The actual costs of hydropower megaproject development

745 citations · 1.1k across the 5 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

5 papers

physics.soc-ph2026

Do Projects Learn Across Space and Time? Evidence from the Olympics

Atif Ansar, Bent Flyvbjerg, Alexander Budzier

Do projects learn across space and time? The Olympics, among the largest publicly funded programmes in the world, offer a unique empirical setting. Theoretically, the Games seem id…

econ.GN2022

How to Solve Big Problems: Bespoke Versus Platform Strategies

Atif Ansar, Bent Flyvbjerg

How should government and business solve big problems? In bold leaps or in many smaller moves? We show that bespoke, one-off projects are prone to poorer outcomes than projects bui…

q-fin.GN2016★ 354 cited

Does Infrastructure Investment Lead to Economic Growth or Economic Fragility? Evidence from China

Atif Ansar, Bent Flyvbjerg, Alexander Budzier +1

The prevalent view in the economics literature is that a high level of infrastructure investment is a precursor to economic growth. China is especially held up as a model to emulat…

econ.GN2016★ 5 cited

Big is Fragile: An Attempt at Theorizing Scale

Atif Ansar, Bent Flyvbjerg, Alexander Budzier +1

In this paper we characterise the propensity of big capital investments to systematically deliver poor outcomes as "fragility," a notion suggested by Nassim Taleb. A thing or syste…

q-fin.GN2014★ 745 cited

Should we build more large dams? The actual costs of hydropower megaproject development

Atif Ansar, Bent Flyvbjerg, Alexander Budzier +1

A brisk building boom of hydropower mega-dams is underway from China to Brazil. Whether benefits of new dams will outweigh costs remains unresolved despite contentious debates. We…