4 papers · 1 filter
What if Tomorrow is the World Cup Final? Counterfactual Time Series Forecasting with Textual Conditions
Shuqi Gu, Yongxiang Zhao, Baoyu Jing +1
Time series forecasting has become increasingly critical in real-world scenarios, where future sequences are influenced not only by historical patterns but also by forthcoming even…
Exploring the Potential of Probabilistic Transformer for Time Series Modeling: A Report on the ST-PT Framework
Zhangzhi Xiong, Haoyi Wu, You Wu +3
The Probabilistic Transformer (PT) establishes that the Transformer's self-attention plus its feed-forward block is mathematically equivalent to Mean-Field Variational Inference (M…
ConTSG-Bench: A Unified Benchmark for Conditional Time Series Generation
Shaocheng Lan, Shuqi Gu, Zhangzhi Xiong +1
Conditional time series generation plays a critical role in addressing data scarcity and enabling causal analysis in real-world applications. Despite its increasing importance, the…
Kairos: Toward Adaptive and Parameter-Efficient Time Series Foundation Models
Kun Feng, Shaocheng Lan, Yuchen Fang +6
Inherent temporal heterogeneity, such as varying sampling densities and periodic structures, has posed substantial challenges in zero-shot generalization for Time Series Foundation…