224 citations · 241 across the 8 of their papers we have counts for
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physics.data-an2014
Forecasting future oil production in Norway and the UK: a general improved methodology
Lucas Fievet, Zalàn Forrò, Peter Cauwels +1
We present a new Monte-Carlo methodology to forecast the crude oil production of Norway and the U.K. based on a two-step process, (i) the nonlinear extrapolation of the current/pas…
q-fin.RM2014
Financial bubbles: mechanisms and diagnostics
Didier Sornette, Peter Cauwels
We define a financial bubble as a period of unsustainable growth, when the price of an asset increases ever more quickly, in a series of accelerating phases of corrections and rebo…
physics.soc-ph2014
A Creepy World
Didier Sornette, Peter Cauwels
Using the mechanics of creep in material sciences as a metaphor, we present a general framework to understand the evolution of financial, economic and social systems and to constru…