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physics.soc-ph2026

Fast-variable reduction to complex contagion unifies epidemic models

Laurent Hébert-Dufresne, Péter L. Simon, István Z. Kiss

Across biological and social complex systems, models of epidemics or contagions incorporate complexity through network correlations, adaptive behavior, higher-order interactions, o…

physics.soc-ph2026

Dynastic dynamics: Modelling powerful naming choices with stochastic prestige

Pablo Rosillo-Rodes, Santiago Lamata-Otín, David Soriano-Paños +2

The naming choices of powerful rulers encode millennia of cultural, political, and institutional influences. Consequently, the long-term onomastic dynamics within some of the most…

physics.soc-ph2026

The impact of behavioral homophily and conformity on epidemic spreading in networks with large groups

Olivier Ribordy, Clara Granell, Guillaume St-Onge +3

Understanding how social behavior influences epidemic dynamics has become a central focus in mathematical epidemiology. In particular, \textit{behavioral homophily} (the tendency o…

physics.soc-ph2026

Simpson's paradox explains the ubiquity of nonlinear, threshold, and complex contagions

Laurent Hébert-Dufresne, Antoine Allard, Jean-Gabriel Young +2

Complex contagions describe systems where the probability or rate of contagious transmission is a nonlinear function of the exposure to contagious agents. These models were first s…

physics.soc-ph2026

Simon's model does not produce Zipf's law: The fundamental rich-get-richer mechanism for any power-law size ranking

Pablo Rosillo-Rodes, Julia Witte Zimmerman, Laurent Hébert-Dufresne +1

Many complex systems are composed of disparate, interacting types of varying sizes: Species abundances in ecosystems, firm sizes in markets, city populations in countries, word cou…

physics.soc-ph2026

Group dynamics shape contagion onsets and multistable active phases under collective reinforcement

Santiago Lamata-Otín, Federico Malizia, Leah A. Keating +4

Group-based reinforcement can induce discontinuous transitions from inactive to active phases in higher-order contagion models. However, these results are typically obtained on sta…

physics.soc-ph2025

Loops, not groups: Long cycles are responsible for discontinuous phase transitions in higher-order network contagions

Leah A. Keating, Laurent Hébert-Dufresne

We study a self-consistent approach to introduce higher-order effects in a branching process model of complex contagion on clustered networks. Branching processes operate over an i…

physics.soc-ph2025

Complete asymptotic type-token relationship for growing complex systems with inverse power-law count rankings

Pablo Rosillo-Rodes, Laurent Hébert-Dufresne, Peter Sheridan Dodds

The growth dynamics of complex systems often exhibit statistical regularities involving power-law relationships. For real finite complex systems formed by countable tokens (animals…