49 citations · 99 across the 9 of their papers we have counts for
6 papers · 1 filter
Optimal periodic closure for minimizing risk in emerging disease outbreaks
Jason Hindes, Simone Bianco, Ira B. Schwartz
Without vaccines and treatments, societies must rely on non-pharmaceutical intervention strategies to control the spread of emerging diseases such as COVID-19. Though complete lock…
Hamiltonian analysis of subcritical stochastic epidemic dynamics
Lee Worden, Ira B. Schwartz, Simone Bianco +3
We extend a technique of approximation of the long-term behavior of a supercritical stochastic epidemic model, using the WKB approximation and a Hamiltonian phase space, to the sub…
Statistical mechanics and thermodynamics of viral evolution
Barbara A. Jones, Justin Lessler, Simone Bianco +1
This paper analyzes a simplified model of viral infection and evolution using the 'grand canonical ensemble' and formalisms from statistical mechanics and thermodynamics to enumera…
Converging towards the optimal path to extinction
Ira B. Schwartz, Eric Forgoston, Simone Bianco +1
Extinction appears ubiquitously in many fields, including chemical reactions, population biology, evolution, and epidemiology. Even though extinction as a random process is a rare…
Asymmetry in the presence of migration stabilizes multistrain disease outbreaks
Simone Bianco, Leah B. Shaw
We study the effect of migration between coupled populations, or patches, on the stability properties of multistrain disease dynamics. The epidemic model used in this work displays…
Epidemics with Multistrain Interactions: The Interplay Between Cross Immunity and Antibody-Dependent Enhancement
Simone Bianco, Leah B. Shaw, Ira B. Schwartz
This paper examines the interplay of the effect of cross immunity and antibody-dependent enhancement (ADE) in mutistrain diseases. Motivated by dengue fever, we study a model for t…