3 papers
econ.GN2026
Betting Against Integrity: Identifying Match-Fixing Through In-Play Market Dynamics
David Winkelmann, Maya Vienken, Christian Deutscher +1
Match-fixing undermines the integrity of sport by eroding public trust and threatening the financial sustainability of clubs and leagues. The global expansion of sports betting mar…
econ.GN2026
Predicting Qualification Thresholds in the UEFA Champions League and Europa League under the New League Phase Format
David Winkelmann, Rouven Michels, Christian Deutscher
For the 2024/25 season, the Union of European Football Associations (UEFA) introduced an incomplete round-robin format in the Champions League and Europa League, replacing the trad…
econ.GN2025
Do Betting Markets Sense a Goal Coming? Evidence from the German Bundesliga
David Winkelmann, Christian Deutscher
We use the fertile ground of betting markets to study the anticipation of major news in financial markets. While there is a considerable body of literature on the accuracy and effi…