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20092022
most citedInferential models: A framework for prior-free posterior probabilistic inference

168 citations · 1.5k across the 73 of their papers we have counts for

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39 papers · 1 filter

math.ST2021★ 8 cited

An imprecise-probabilistic characterization of frequentist statistical inference

Ryan Martin

Between the two dominant schools of thought in statistics, namely, Bayesian and classical/frequentist, a main difference is that the former is grounded in the mathematically rigoro…

math.ST2021★ 1 cited

Decision-making with possibilistic inferential models

Ryan Martin, Shih-Ni Prim, Jonathan Williams

Inferential models (IMs) are data-dependent, imprecise-probabilistic structures designed to quantify uncertainty about unknowns. As the name suggests, the focus has been on uncerta…

math.ST2021★ 17 cited

Valid inferential models for prediction in supervised learning problems

Leonardo Cella, Ryan Martin

Prediction, where observed data is used to quantify uncertainty about a future observation, is a fundamental problem in statistics. Prediction sets with coverage probability guaran…

math.ST2021★ 10 cited

Direct and approximately valid probabilistic inference on a class of statistical functionals

Leonardo Cella, Ryan Martin

Existing frameworks for probabilistic inference assume the quantity of interest is the parameter of a posited statistical model. In machine learning applications, however, often th…

math.ST2021★ 3 cited

Revisiting consistency of a recursive estimator of mixing distributions

Vaidehi Dixit, Ryan Martin

Estimation of the mixing distribution under a general mixture model is a very difficult problem, especially when the mixing distribution is assumed to have a density. Predictive re…

math.ST2021

Gibbs posterior inference on a Levy density under discrete sampling

Zhe Wang, Ryan Martin

In mathematical finance, Levy processes are widely used for their ability to model both continuous variation and abrupt, discontinuous jumps. These jumps are practically relevant,…