2 papers
physics.ao-ph2026
A mathematical framework for dynamic emergent constraints in climate science
Francesco Ragone, Valerio Lucarini
Emergent constraints in climate science are empirical relations that link the response to a forcing of a physical observable to the properties of other observables, with the aim of…
stat.AP2026
A spatio-temporal statistical framework for heatwave attribution under climate change
Kamal Gasser, Johan Segers, Francesco Ragone
We develop a unified statistical framework for attributing heatwaves as spatio-temporal phenomena under climate change. We quantify the impact of anthropogenic forcing on the proba…