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stat.ML2024
Online conformal prediction with decaying step sizes
Anastasios N. Angelopoulos, Rina Foygel Barber, Stephen Bates
We introduce a method for online conformal prediction with decaying step sizes. Like previous methods, ours possesses a retrospective guarantee of coverage for arbitrary sequences.…
stat.ML2024
Conformal Decision Theory: Safe Autonomous Decisions from Imperfect Predictions
Jordan Lekeufack, Anastasios N. Angelopoulos, Andrea Bajcsy +2
We introduce Conformal Decision Theory, a framework for producing safe autonomous decisions despite imperfect machine learning predictions. Examples of such decisions are ubiquitou…