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20242026
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stat.ML2026

Interventional Processes for Causal Uncertainty Quantification

Hugh Dance, Peter Orbanz, Arthur Gretton

Reliable uncertainty quantification for causal effects is crucial in high-stakes applications, but remains challenging when the target is an entire function rather than a scalar es…

stat.ML2026

Outcome-Aware Spectral Feature Learning for Instrumental Variable Regression

Dimitri Meunier, Jakub Wornbard, Vladimir R. Kostic +5

We address the problem of causal effect estimation in the presence of hidden confounders using nonparametric instrumental variable (IV) regression. An established approach is to us…

stat.ML2026

Semiparametrically Efficient Inference for Kernel Measures of Noise Heterogeneity

Jakub Wornbard, Zikai Shen, Dimitri Meunier +1

We develop semiparametrically efficient inference for kernel measures of noise heterogeneity in additive noise models. In many applications, the regression function is estimated us…

stat.ML2026

Nonparametric Instrumental Variable Analysis Without Structural Equations: Debiased Inference on Functionals of Inverse Problems with No Solutions

Zikai Shen, Nathan Kallus, Dimitri Meunier +3

We consider debiased inference on finite-dimensional functionals of infinite-dimensional least-squares solutions to inverse problems as a way to avoid having to assume exact soluti…

stat.ML2026

Semiparametric Efficient Test for Interpretable Distributional Treatment Effects

Houssam Zenati, Arthur Gretton

Distributional treatment effects can be invisible to means: a treatment may preserve average outcomes while changing tails, modes, dispersion, or rare-event probabilities. Kernel t…

stat.ML2026

Kernel Treatment Effects with Adaptively Collected Data

Houssam Zenati, Bariscan Bozkurt, Arthur Gretton

Adaptive experiments improve efficiency by adjusting treatment assignments based on past outcomes, but this adaptivity breaks the i.i.d.\ assumptions that underpin classical asympt…