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stat.ML2026
Multivariate Standardized Residuals for Conformal Prediction
Sacha Braun, Eugène Berta, Michael I. Jordan +1
While split conformal prediction guarantees marginal coverage, approaching the stronger property of conditional coverage is essential for reliable uncertainty quantification. Naive…
stat.ML2026
A Variational Estimator for Calibration Errors
Eugène Berta, Sacha Braun, David Holzmüller +2
Calibration$\unicode{x2014}$the problem of ensuring that predicted probabilities align with observed class frequencies$\unicode{x2014}$is a basic desideratum for reliable predictio…