14 papers
TimeBlocks: Foundational and Continual Time-Series Blockbase -- Extended Version
David Campos, Bin Yang, Tung Kieu +3
The ongoing digitization has led to a proliferation of time-series data streams that monitor a variety of processes, from which valuable insights may be obtained. Further, the emer…
FuXi-Nowcast: Environment-conditioned deep learning for severe convection nowcasting
Lei Chen, Zijian Zhu, Xiaoran Zhuang +4
Severe convection produces localized hazards that often require warnings before radar echoes fully reveal storm development. Convective initiation and the maintenance of intense co…
QuantWeather: Quantile-Aware Probabilistic Forecasting for Subseasonal Precipitation
Lei Chen, Xinyu Su, Xiaohui Zhong +1
Subseasonal precipitation forecasting is inherently uncertain due to chaotic atmospheric dynamics, making reliable uncertainty estimation essential for real-world applications. Exi…
FuXi-TC: A generative framework integrating deep learning and physics-based models for improved tropical cyclone forecasts
Shan Guo, Lei Chen, Yangyang Zhao +6
Tropical cyclones (TCs) are among the most devastating natural hazards, yet their intensity remains notoriously difficult to predict. NWP models are constrained by both computation…
Data-driven ensemble prediction of the global ocean
Qiusheng Huang, Xiaohui Zhong, Anboyu Guo +3
Data-driven models have advanced deterministic ocean forecasting, but extending machine learning to probabilistic global ocean prediction remains an open challenge. Here we introdu…
Searth Transformer: A Transformer Architecture Incorporating Earth's Geospheric Physical Priors for Global Mid-Range Weather Forecasting
Tianye Li, Qi Liu, Hao Li +15
Accurate global medium-range weather forecasting is fundamental to Earth system science. Most existing Transformer-based forecasting models adopt vision-centric architectures that…