3 papers
stat.AP2026
Bandwidth selection with a frequency-domain version of the AIC
Erhard Reschenhofer
When it comes to estimating an unknown spectral density as simply and reliably as possible, parametric spectral density estimation using AR models and order selection via AIC is th…
physics.ao-ph2026
Remarks on the acceleration of global warming and the imminent breach of the 1.5°C Paris Agreement target
Erhard Reschenhofer
To answer the questions of whether global warming is accelerating and when the 1.5°C Paris Agreement target will be exceeded, the global mean surface temperature from 1880 to 2025…
physics.ao-ph2025
The latest monthly highs suggest that the 1.5°C Paris Agreement threshold will probably be exceeded before 2028
Erhard Reschenhofer
An attempt is made to estimate and forecast the trend of the global annual and monthly mean temperatures. The results of a conventional statistical analysis suggest that in the abs…