3 papers
stat.ME2026
Diagnostic Tools for Extreme Value Regression Models
Ed Mackay, Jordan Richards, Philip Jonathan
Visual and quantitative goodness-of-fit diagnostics are an important tool in the practitioner's toolbox. The need for convincing and reliable diagnostics is particularly clear when…
physics.ao-ph2026
Estimating changes in extreme quantiles over time, applied to desert temperatures
Callum Leach, Kevin Ewans, Philip Jonathan
We quantify changes DeltaQ in 100-year return values for regional annual maxima and minima of near-surface atmospheric temperature from output of five CMIP6 models, for five of the…
stat.AP2025
Changes over time in the 100-year return value of climate model variables
Callum Leach, Kevin Ewans, Philip Jonathan
We assess evidence for changes in tail characteristics of wind, solar irradiance and temperature variables output from CMIP6 global climate models (GCMs) due to climate forcing. We…