activity
20172026
most citedOn Long Memory Origins and Forecast Horizons

16 citations · 27 across the 10 of their papers we have counts for

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Showing 2026Show all

5 papers · 1 filter

stat.ME2026

Cointegration by Parts: Locating Cointegration in Time

Olivia Kvist, J. Eduardo Vera-Valdés

Tests for cointegration are typically applied to a single window spanning the entire sample, assuming that the long-run relationship holds throughout. When it holds over only a par…

stat.AP2026

The kinematics of global warming: Semiparametric analysis of warming level, rate, and acceleration

Mikkel Bennedsen, J. Eduardo Vera-Valdés

We develop a semiparametric kinematic state-space framework for estimating the latent dynamics of global warming from noisy monthly temperature observations. The framework estimate…

stat.AP2026

Spatial emergence of acceleration in global warming

Tanja Korsten Bugajski, Nicolai Peder Bulow Pedersen, J. Eduardo Vera-Valdes

Whether global warming is accelerating remains contested because internal variability and spatial heterogeneity can obscure changes in warming rates. Here we use a Bayesian hierarc…

stat.ME2026

Detecting acceleration in global mean temperature using supralinear trends

J. Eduardo Vera-Valdés, J. Eduardo Vera-Valdes

Whether global mean surface temperature has accelerated has received opposite answers in quick succession, reported as undetectable on data to 2023 and as significant on data to 20…

stat.AP2026

Leveraging Multi-Model Land-Use Emissions Reveals a Rising Airborne Fraction of Atmospheric Over the Past Six Decades

J. Eduardo Vera-Valdes

The airborne fraction, the share of anthropogenic emissions that remains in the atmosphere rather than being taken up by land and ocean, is a compact diagnostic of sink effi…