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stat.AP2026
Can We Trust Evaluations of AI Weather Forecasts for Extremes? How Evaluation Protocols Shape Model Rankings
Tobias Biegert, Sam Allen, Zhongwei Zhang +1
AI weather models perform competitively with traditional physics-based models at a fraction of the computational cost, and they are thus already used operationally. However, studie…
stat.AP2026
Towards Fair Comparisons of AI- and Physics-Based Weather Models for Extreme Events via the Weighted Potential CRPS
Tobias Biegert, Sam Allen, Annika Alber +1
We study whether deterministic AI weather prediction (AIWP) models issue more informative forecasts for extreme weather events than deterministic numerical weather prediction (NWP)…