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20232026
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econ.EM2026

Evaluating Threshold Policies in Randomized Threshold Designs: A Cautionary Tale for Regression Discontinuity Designs

Shunsuke Imai, Koshi Nishida, Yuta Okamoto

Many policies assign treatment according to whether a score crosses a cutoff. Regression discontinuity (RD) designs identify the effect of treatment assignment, but the threshold p…

econ.EM2026

Uniform Confidence Bands for Infinite-Dimensional Partially Identified Parameters

Shunsuke Imai, Yuta Okamoto

Infinite-dimensional parameters are ubiquitous in empirical economics. This paper develops an Imbens--Manski--Stoye type confidence band for infinite-dimensional partially identifi…

econ.EM2025

Joint Inference for the Regression Discontinuity Effect and Its External Validity

Yuta Okamoto

The external validity of regression discontinuity designs is crucial for informing policy but is rarely examined in applied work. To advance empirical practice, we propose a joint…

econ.EM2024

Bounds on Extrapolated Treatment Effects in Regression Discontinuity Designs

Yuta Okamoto, Yuuki Ozaki

External validity is a central concern in regression discontinuity (RD) designs. To assess treatment effect heterogeneity and the representativeness of the conventional RD estimand…

econ.EM2023

Robustify and Tighten the Lee Bounds: A Sample Selection Model under Stochastic Monotonicity and Symmetry Assumptions

Yuta Okamoto

In the presence of sample selection, Lee's (2009) nonparametric bounds are a popular tool for estimating a treatment effect. However, the Lee bounds rely on the monotonicity assump…

econ.EM2023

Kernel Choice Matters for Local Polynomial Density Estimators at Boundaries

Shunsuke Imai, Yuta Okamoto

Local polynomial density (LPD) estimators are widely used for inference on boundary features of the density function. Contrary to conventional wisdom, we show that kernel choice su…