activity
20242026
most citedUnderstanding overfitting in random forest for probability estimation: a visualization and simulation study

143 citations · 162 across the 5 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

6 papers

cs.LG2026

Optimizing for the decision not the prediction: an exploration of Smooth Net Benefit as a training objective

Koen M. F. Gorgels, Lasai Barreñada, Maarten van Smeden +3

Objective Prediction models are commonly trained using objectives such as Bernoulli negative log-likelihood (NLL), although downstream clinical decisions may depend on specific ris…

cs.SE2026

Code Sharing In Prediction Model Research: A Scoping Review

Thomas Sounack, Raffaele Giancotti, Catherine A. Gao +8

Analytical code is essential for reproducing diagnostic and prognostic prediction model research, yet code availability in the published literature remains limited. While the TRIPO…

stat.ME2025★ 1 cited

The fundamental problem of risk prediction for individuals: health AI, uncertainty, and personalized medicine

Lasai Barreñada, Ewout W Steyerberg, Dirk Timmerman +3

Background and Objective: Clinical prediction models are commonly evaluated regarding performance for a population, although decisions are made for individuals. The classic view re…

stat.ME2025★ 4 cited

Clustered Flexible Calibration Plots For Binary Outcomes Using Random Effects Modeling

Lasai Barreñada, Bavo D. C. Campo, Laure Wynants +1

Evaluation of clinical prediction models across multiple clusters, whether centers or datasets, is becoming increasingly common. A comprehensive evaluation includes an assessment o…

cs.LG2024★ 14 cited

Performance evaluation of predictive AI models to support medical decisions: Overview and guidance

Ben Van Calster, Gary S. Collins, Andrew J. Vickers +11

A myriad of measures to illustrate performance of predictive artificial intelligence (AI) models have been proposed in the literature. Selecting appropriate performance measures is…

stat.ME2024★ 143 cited

Understanding overfitting in random forest for probability estimation: a visualization and simulation study

Lasai Barreñada, Paula Dhiman, Dirk Timmerman +2

Random forests have become popular for clinical risk prediction modelling. In a case study on predicting ovarian malignancy, we observed training c-statistics close to 1. Although…