1 citations · 1 across the 3 of their papers we have counts for
3 papers
When Better Codebooks Are Not Enough: Predictive Performance and Behavioral Reliability in LLM Political Event Coding
Zixian He, Bharath Raahul Murugesan, Patrick Brandt +1
High accuracy does not necessarily make an LLM a faithful coder. This issue matters because many social-science studies rely on expert-written codebooks to turn text into structure…
ConfliBERT: A Language Model for Political Conflict
Patrick T. Brandt, Sultan Alsarra, Vito J. D`Orazio +5
Conflict scholars have used rule-based approaches to extract information about political violence from news reports and texts. Recent Natural Language Processing developments move…
The 2023/24 VIEWS Prediction Challenge: Predicting the Number of Fatalities in Armed Conflict, with Uncertainty
Håvard Hegre, Paola Vesco, Michael Colaresi +37
This draft article outlines a prediction challenge where the target is to forecast the number of fatalities in armed conflicts, in the form of the UCDP `best' estimates, aggregated…