4 papers
CREDO: Epistemic-Aware Conformalized Credal Envelopes for Regression
Luben M. C. Cabezas, Sabina J. Sloman, Bruno M. Resende +3
Conformal prediction delivers prediction intervals with distribution-free coverage, but its intervals can look overconfident in regions where the model is extrapolating, because st…
Epistemic Uncertainty in Conformal Scores: A Unified Approach
Luben M. C. Cabezas, Vagner S. Santos, Thiago R. Ramos +1
Conformal prediction methods create prediction bands with distribution-free guarantees but do not explicitly capture epistemic uncertainty, which can lead to overconfident predicti…
Conformal Calibration of Statistical Confidence Sets
Luben M. C. Cabezas, Guilherme P. Soares, Thiago R. Ramos +2
Constructing valid confidence sets is a crucial task in statistical inference, yet traditional methods often face challenges when dealing with complex models or limited observed sa…
PersonalizedUS: Interpretable Breast Cancer Risk Assessment with Local Coverage Uncertainty Quantification
Alek Fröhlich, Thiago Ramos, Gustavo Cabello +3
Correctly assessing the malignancy of breast lesions identified during ultrasound examinations is crucial for effective clinical decision-making. However, the current "golden stand…