4 papers
Bilateral Trade Under Heavy-Tailed Valuations: Minimax Regret without a Variance Bound
Hangyi Zhao
In contextual bilateral trade under full feedback, the posted price does not affect which valuations are observed. We show that in this model such action-independent feedback remov…
Towards Reliable Time Series Forecasting under Future Uncertainty: Ambiguity and Novelty Rejection Mechanisms
Ninghui Feng, Songning Lai, Xin Zhou +9
In real-world time series forecasting, uncertainty and lack of reliable evaluation pose significant challenges. Notably, forecasting errors often arise from underfitting in-distrib…
TimeSieve: Extracting Temporal Dynamics through Information Bottlenecks
Ninghui Feng, Songning Lai, Jiayu Yang +3
Time series forecasting has become an increasingly popular research area due to its critical applications in various real-world domains such as traffic management, weather predicti…
FTS: A Framework to Find a Faithful TimeSieve
Songning Lai, Ninghui Feng, Haochen Sui +5
The field of time series forecasting has garnered significant attention in recent years, prompting the development of advanced models like TimeSieve, which demonstrates impressive…