4 papers
Forecasting threshold exceedance of atmospheric variables at a specific location
Roberta Baggio, Jean-François Muzy
Accurate short-term forecasting of extreme weather events is important for early warning and risk mitigation. We compare two approaches for predicting site-specific threshold excee…
Improving prediction of heavy rainfall in the Mediterranean with Neural Networks using both observation and Numerical Weather Prediction data
Killian Pujol, Roberta Baggio, Dominique Lambert +3
Forecasting Heavy Precipitation Events (HPE) in the Mediterranean is crucial but challenging due to the complexity of the processes involved. In this context, Artificial Intelligen…
Local wind speed forecasting at short time horizons based on Numerical Weather Prediction and observations from surrounding stations
Roberta Baggio, Killian Pujol, Florian Pantillon +3
This study presents a hybrid neural network model for short-term (1-6 hours ahead) surface wind speed forecasting, combining Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) with observational d…
Improving probabilistic wind speed forecasting using M-Rice distribution and spatial data integration
Roberta Baggio, Jean-François Muzy
We consider the problem of short-term forecasting of surface wind speed probability distribution. Our approach consists in predicting the parameters of a given probability density…