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stat.ME2026
Posterior inference via Hill's prediction model
Pier Giovanni Bissiri, Chris Holmes, Stephen G. Walker
This paper is concerned with the construction of prior free posterior distributions which rely on the use of one step ahead predictive distribution functions. These are typically m…
stat.ME2026
Predicting fixed-sample test decisions enables anytime-valid inference
Chris Holmes, Stephen Walker
Statistical hypothesis tests typically use prespecified sample sizes, yet data often arrive sequentially. Interim analyses invalidate classical error guarantees, while existing seq…