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cs.LG2026
Time series causal discovery with variable lags
Bruno Petrungaro, Anthony C. Constantinou
Causal Bayesian Networks (CBNs) are a powerful tool for reasoning under uncertainty about complex real-world problems. Such problems evolve over time, responding to external shocks…
cs.LG2026
Econometric vs. Causal Structure-Learning for Time-Series Policy Decisions: Evidence from the UK COVID-19 Policies
Bruno Petrungaro, Anthony C. Constantinou
Causal machine learning (ML) recovers graphical structures that inform us about potential cause-and-effect relationships. Most progress has focused on cross-sectional data with no…