2 papers
cs.LG2026
DAW: Dynamics-Aware Weighting for Deep Learning Forecasts of Chaotic Systems
Zhou Fang, Gianmarco Mengaldo
Deep learning surrogates for forecasting chaotic dynamical systems suffer from catastrophic error accumulation over long-term autoregressive rollouts. This behavior is partly tied…
cs.LG2025
Dynamical errors in machine learning forecasts
Zhou Fang, Gianmarco Mengaldo
In machine learning forecasting, standard error metrics such as mean absolute error (MAE) and mean squared error (MSE) quantify discrepancies between predictions and target values.…