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The Effects of a Constructed Closure of the Bering Strait on AMOC Tipping Behavior
Jelle Soons, Henk A. Dijkstra
The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is a major tipping element in the present-day climate, and could potentially collapse under sufficient freshwater or CO2-forc…
Physics of an AMOC Overshoot in a Box Model
Jelle Soons, Tobias Grafke, René M. van Westen +1
Recently the global average temperature has temporarily exceeded the 1.5°C goal of the Paris Agreement, and so an overshoot of various climate tipping elements becomes increasingly…
Most Likely Noise-Induced Overturning Circulation Collapse in a 2D Boussinesq Fluid Model
Jelle Soons, Tobias Grafke, Henk A. Dijkstra
There is a reasonable possibility that the present-day Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation is in a bi-stable regime and hence it is relevant to compute probabilities and pa…
Optimal Transition Paths for AMOC Collapse and Recovery in a Stochastic Box Model
Jelle Soons, Tobias Grafke, Henk A. Dijkstra
There is strong evidence that the present-day Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is in a bi-stable regime and hence it is important to determine probabilities and p…