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20232026
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physics.ao-ph2026

WP-MIP: An Artificial Intelligence, Hybrid, and Physically Based Model Intercomparison Project for Weather Prediction

Ron McTaggart-Cowan, Linus Magnusson, Inna Polichtchouk +57

Rapid progress in the field of machine-learning for weather prediction has led to the emergence of algorithms whose forecasting skill can exceed that of traditional physically base…

physics.ao-ph2026

Impacts of Jet Stream Structure on Cyclone Merging and Persistent Anticyclones: Insights from Dry Idealized Simulations

Mingfei Ren, Gan Zhang, Kai-Yuan Cheng +3

Midlatitude jet streams exhibit substantial variability in latitude, width, and vertical depth on synoptic to multi-decadal timescales. While the upper-level dynamics of baroclinic…

physics.ao-ph2026

Near-surface Extreme Wind Events and Their Responses to Climate Forcings in a Hierarchy of Global Climate Models

G. Zhang, M. Rao, I. Simpson +4

Near-surface extreme winds profoundly affect human society, yet process-based understanding of their changes under climate forcings remains limited. This study systematically inves…

physics.ao-ph2026

Hierarchical Testing of a Hybrid Machine Learning-Physics Global Atmosphere Model

Ziming Chen, L. Ruby Leung, Wenyu Zhou +9

Machine learning (ML)-based models have demonstrated high skill and computational efficiency, often outperforming conventional physics-based models in weather and subseasonal predi…

physics.ao-ph2026

Track-Dependent Links between Tropical Cyclones and Extratropical Predictability in Physical and AI Models

Gan Zhang

Global medium-range weather forecasts suffer occasional failures, often linked to tropical cyclones (TCs). We investigate TC influences on extratropical predictability by comparing…