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stat.ME2026
Surprise Reduction and Nullification in Bayesian and Inverse Bayesian Inference under Ambiguous Prediction-Error Attribution
Shuji Shinohara, Daiki Morita, Yoshihiro Nakajima +4
In non-stationary environments, prediction errors may signal environmental change or transient outliers, and adaptive systems must track such changes without overreacting to outlie…
stat.ME2025
Adaptive Inference through Bayesian and Inverse Bayesian Inference with Symmetry-Bias in Nonstationary Environments
Shuji Shinohara, Daiki Morita, Hayato Hirai +6
This study proposes the novel Bayesian and inverse Bayesian (BIB) inference framework that incorporates symmetry bias into the Bayesian updating process to perform both conventiona…