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physics.ao-ph2024
Quantifying intra-regime weather variability for energy applications
Judith Gerighausen, Joshua Dorrington, Marisol Osman +1
Weather regimes describe the large-scale atmospheric circulation in the mid-latitudes in terms of a few circulation states that modulate regional surface weather. Subseasonal forec…
physics.ao-ph2024
Multivariate post-processing of probabilistic sub-seasonal weather regime forecasts
Fabian Mockert, Christian M. Grams, Sebastian Lerch +2
Reliable forecasts of quasi-stationary, recurrent, and persistent large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns (weather regimes) are crucial for various socio-economic sectors. Des…
physics.ao-ph2024
Improving forecasts of precipitation extremes over Northern and Central Italy using machine learning
Federico Grazzini, Joshua Dorrington, Christian M. Grams +3
The accurate prediction of intense precipitation events is one of the main objectives of operational weather services. This task is even more relevant nowadays, with the rapid prog…