3 papers
stat.ME2025
Estimating dynamic transmission rates with a Black-Karasinski process in stochastic SIHR models using particle MCMC
Avery Drennan, Jeffrey Covington, Dan Han +6
Compartmental models are effective in modeling the spread of infectious pathogens, but have remaining weaknesses in fitting to real datasets exhibiting stochastic effects. We propo…
math.DS2024
Probabilistic Eddy Identification with Uncertainty Quantification
Jeffrey Covington, Nan Chen, Stephen Wiggins +1
Mesoscale eddies are critical in ocean circulation and the global climate system. Standard eddy identification methods are usually based on deterministic optimal point estimates of…
math.DS2023
Effective Statistical Control Strategies for Complex Turbulent Dynamical Systems
Jeffrey Covington, Di Qi, Nan Chen
Control of complex turbulent dynamical systems involving strong nonlinearity and high degrees of internal instability is an important topic in practice. Different from traditional…