activity
20232026
most citedEngression: Extrapolation through the Lens of Distributional Regression

3 citations · 6 across the 17 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

17 papers

physics.ao-ph2026

GCMagicc v1: a fast generative emulator for multivariate climate-impact ensembles

Nicolai Meinshausen, Malte Meinshausen, Jared Lewis +6

Projecting the impacts of climate change requires large ensembles of climate variables that match historical observations, align with the warming ranges assessed by the IPCC, and c…

stat.ME2026

Distributional Extrapolation for Interactions

Marin Šola, Xinwei Shen, Peter Bühlmann

Predicting combinatorial effects from limited-range observations is a fundamental challenge in many scientific domains, including drug discovery and hyperparameter optimization. We…

stat.ML2026

Error Analysis of Neural-Network-Based Engression

Juntong Chen, Zijian Guo, Xinwei Shen

Engression (Shen and Meinshausen, 2024) learns a conditional distribution by fitting a generative model under the energy score, a strictly proper scoring rul…

stat.ME2026

Emputation: Identification-Guided Neural Imputation Framework

Yanjiao Yang, Yikun Zhang, Xinwei Shen +1

We propose Emputation, a deep generative framework for learning imputation models. Emputation targets the extrapolation distribution of missing variables given observed variables,…

stat.ML2026

Perturbation is All You Need for Extrapolating Language Models

Zetai Cen, Jin Zhu, Xinwei Shen +1

This paper develops a statistical theory of extrapolation for large language models, by reinterpreting them through pre-post-additive noise models. In contrast to the standard auto…

cs.LG2026

UQ-SHRED: uncertainty quantification of shallow recurrent decoder networks for sparse sensing via engression

Mars Liyao Gao, Yuxuan Bao, Amy S. Rude +2

Reconstructing high-dimensional spatiotemporal fields from sparse sensor measurements is critical in a wide range of scientific applications. The SHallow REcurrent Decoder (SHRED)…

physics.ao-ph2025★ 1 cited

EnScale: Temporally-consistent multivariate generative downscaling via proper scoring rules

Maybritt Schillinger, Maxim Samarin, Xinwei Shen +2

The practical use of future climate projections from global circulation models (GCMs) is often limited by their coarse spatial resolution, requiring downscaling to generate high-re…

stat.ME2025

Frugal, Flexible, Faithful: Causal Data Simulation via Frengression

Linying Yang, Jens Magelund Tarp, Robin J. Evans +1

Machine learning has revitalized causal inference by combining flexible models and principled estimators, yet robust benchmarking and evaluation remain challenging with real-world…

cs.CV2025

See-in-Pairs: Reference Image-Guided Comparative Vision-Language Models for Medical Diagnosis

Ruinan Jin, Gexin Huang, Xinwei Shen +3

Medical image diagnosis is challenging because many diseases resemble normal anatomy and exhibit substantial interpatient variability. Clinicians routinely rely on comparative diag…

cs.LG2025

Towards Better Generalization via Distributional Input Projection Network

Yifan Hao, Yanxin Lu, Hanning Zhang +2

As overparameterized models become increasingly prevalent, training loss alone offers limited insight into generalization performance. While smoothness has been linked to improved…

stat.ML2025★ 1 cited

Causality-Inspired Robustness for Nonlinear Models via Representation Learning

Marin Šola, Peter Bühlmann, Xinwei Shen

Distributional robustness is a central goal of prediction algorithms due to the prevalent distribution shifts in real-world data. The prediction model aims to minimize the worst-ca…

stat.ML2025

Extrapolation Guarantees for Perturbation Modeling Under the Additive Latent Shift Assumption

Julius von Kügelgen, Jakob Ketterer, Michael Vollenweider +4

We consider the problem of modeling the effects of perturbations like gene knockouts on measurements such as single-cell RNA counts. Given data for some perturbations, we aim to pr…

cs.LG2025

Reverse Markov Learning: Multi-Step Generative Models for Complex Distributions

Xinwei Shen, Nicolai Meinshausen, Tong Zhang

Learning complex distributions is a fundamental challenge in contemporary applications. Shen and Meinshausen (2024) introduced engression, a generative approach based on scoring ru…

stat.ME2025

Distributional Instrumental Variable Method

Anastasiia Holovchak, Sorawit Saengkyongam, Nicolai Meinshausen +1

The instrumental variable (IV) approach is commonly used to infer causal effects in the presence of unmeasured confounding. Existing methods typically aim to estimate the mean caus…

stat.ML2024★ 1 cited

Distributional Principal Autoencoders

Xinwei Shen, Nicolai Meinshausen

Dimension reduction techniques usually lose information in the sense that reconstructed data are not identical to the original data. However, we argue that it is possible to have r…

stat.ME2023

Causality-oriented robustness: exploiting general noise interventions

Xinwei Shen, Peter Bühlmann, Armeen Taeb

Since distribution shifts are common in real-world applications, there is a pressing need to develop prediction models that are robust against such shifts. Existing frameworks, suc…

stat.ME2023★ 3 cited

Engression: Extrapolation through the Lens of Distributional Regression

Xinwei Shen, Nicolai Meinshausen

Distributional regression aims to estimate the full conditional distribution of a target variable, given covariates. Popular methods include linear and tree-ensemble based quantile…