5 papers
Predicting tipping points: The many shades of non-equilibrium and catch-22s of early-warning
Johannes Lohmann
The potential of crossing climate tipping points (TP) has reached the attention of many researchers and the general public. On the one hand, the basis for this concern is strengthe…
Alternate states and intermingledness in complex high-dimensional systems
George Datseris, Johannes Lohmann, Oisín Hamilton +1
Many natural systems posses, and can transition between, multiple alternative states. For example, a climate ``tipping element'' is a climate component that can transition to an al…
Choosing observables that capture critical slowing down before tipping points: A Fokker-Planck operator approach
Johannes Lohmann, Georg A. Gottwald
Tipping points (TP) are abrupt transitions between metastable states in complex systems, most often described by a bifurcation or crisis of a multistable system induced by a slowly…
The role of edge states for early-warning of tipping points
Johannes Lohmann, Alfred B. Hansen, Alessandro Lovo +3
Tipping points (TP) are often described as low-dimensional bifurcations, and are associated with early-warning signals (EWS) due to critical slowing down (CSD). CSD is an increase…
Melancholia States of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation
Johannes Lohmann, Valerio Lucarini
The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is a much studied component of the climate system, because its suspected multistability is associated with tipping behaviour…