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physics.ao-ph2026
Robustness of Deep Learning Models for PV Power Forecasting under NWP Forecast Errors: A Spatiotemporal and Physically Interpretable Analysis
Dandan Chen, Yan Zhao, Xuepeng Chen
Engineering use of AI forecasting models requires not only high nominal accuracy but also predictable behavior under uncertain inputs. In photovoltaic (PV) forecasting, this requir…
physics.ao-ph2025
Meteorologically-Informed Adaptive Conformal Prediction for Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecasting
Xuepeng Chen, Jing-Jia Luo, Qingqing Li +1
Rapid intensification (RI) of tropical cyclones (TCs) poses a great challenge due to their highly nonlinear dynamics and inherent uncertainties. Conventional statistical dynamics a…