activity
20242026
collaborators

5 papers

stat.ME2026

Informative inference on the average treatment effect with instrumental variables

Luca Locher, Thomas Richardson, Mats Stensrud

Policy decisions often depend on whether the average treatment effect (ATE) exceeds a specific cutoff. In instrumental variable (IV) settings, point identification of the ATE requi…

math.ST2025

Causal Inference: A Tale of Three Frameworks

Linbo Wang, Thomas Richardson, James Robins

Causal inference is a central goal across many scientific disciplines. Over the past several decades, three major frameworks have emerged to formalize causal questions and guide th…

stat.ME2025

Individual Treatment Effect: Prediction Intervals and Sharp Bounds

Zhehao Zhang, Thomas S. Richardson

Individual treatment effect (ITE) is often regarded as the ideal target of inference in causal analyses and has been the focus of several recent studies. In this paper, we describe…

math.ST2024

The Categorical Instrumental Variable Model: Characterization, Partial Identification, and Statistical Inference

Yilin Song, F. Richard Guo, K. C. Gary Chan +1

We study categorical instrumental variable (IV) models with instrument, treatment and outcome taking finitely many values. We derive a simple closed-form characterization of the se…

math.ST2024

Bounds on the Distribution of a Sum of Two Random Variables: Revisiting a problem of Kolmogorov with application to Individual Treatment Effects

Zhehao Zhang, Thomas S. Richardson

We revisit the following problem, proposed by Kolmogorov: given prescribed marginal distributions and for random variables respectively, characterize the set of compa…