35 citations · 35 across the 7 of their papers we have counts for
7 papers
Dr-CiK: A Benchmark testing Deep Research for Context-Aided Forecasting
Yihong Tang, Andrew Robert Williams, Arjun Ashok +7
Time series forecasting in real-world settings often depends not only on historical observations, but also on external context that must be actively discovered from noisy, heteroge…
Impermanent: A Live Benchmark for Temporal Generalization in Time Series Forecasting
Azul Garza, Renée Rosillo, Rodrigo Mendoza-Smith +5
Recent advances in time-series forecasting increasingly rely on pre-trained foundation-style models. While these models often claim broad generalization, existing evaluation protoc…
Overcoming the Modality Gap in Context-Aided Forecasting
Vincent Zhihao Zheng, Étienne Marcotte, Arjun Ashok +4
Context-aided forecasting (CAF) holds promise for integrating domain knowledge and forward-looking information, enabling AI systems to surpass traditional statistical methods. Howe…
Beyond Naïve Prompting: Strategies for Improved Context-aided Forecasting with LLMs
Arjun Ashok, Andrew Robert Williams, Vincent Zhihao Zheng +5
Real-world forecasting requires models to integrate not only historical data but also relevant contextual information provided in textual form. While large language models (LLMs) s…
Random Initialization Can't Catch Up: The Advantage of Language Model Transfer for Time Series Forecasting
Roland Riachi, Kashif Rasul, Arjun Ashok +5
Recent works have demonstrated the effectiveness of adapting pre-trained language models (LMs) for forecasting time series in the low-data regime. We build upon these findings by a…
Context is Key: A Benchmark for Forecasting with Essential Textual Information
Andrew Robert Williams, Arjun Ashok, Étienne Marcotte +8
Forecasting is a critical task in decision-making across numerous domains. While historical numerical data provide a start, they fail to convey the complete context for reliable an…
Lag-Llama: Towards Foundation Models for Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting
Kashif Rasul, Arjun Ashok, Andrew Robert Williams +15
Over the past years, foundation models have caused a paradigm shift in machine learning due to their unprecedented capabilities for zero-shot and few-shot generalization. However,…