35 citations · 37 across the 9 of their papers we have counts for
9 papers
Dr-CiK: A Benchmark testing Deep Research for Context-Aided Forecasting
Yihong Tang, Andrew Robert Williams, Arjun Ashok +7
Time series forecasting in real-world settings often depends not only on historical observations, but also on external context that must be actively discovered from noisy, heteroge…
Impermanent: A Live Benchmark for Temporal Generalization in Time Series Forecasting
Azul Garza, Renée Rosillo, Rodrigo Mendoza-Smith +5
Recent advances in time-series forecasting increasingly rely on pre-trained foundation-style models. While these models often claim broad generalization, existing evaluation protoc…
Overcoming the Modality Gap in Context-Aided Forecasting
Vincent Zhihao Zheng, Étienne Marcotte, Arjun Ashok +4
Context-aided forecasting (CAF) holds promise for integrating domain knowledge and forward-looking information, enabling AI systems to surpass traditional statistical methods. Howe…
Beyond Naïve Prompting: Strategies for Improved Context-aided Forecasting with LLMs
Arjun Ashok, Andrew Robert Williams, Vincent Zhihao Zheng +5
Real-world forecasting requires models to integrate not only historical data but also relevant contextual information provided in textual form. While large language models (LLMs) s…
Random Initialization Can't Catch Up: The Advantage of Language Model Transfer for Time Series Forecasting
Roland Riachi, Kashif Rasul, Arjun Ashok +5
Recent works have demonstrated the effectiveness of adapting pre-trained language models (LMs) for forecasting time series in the low-data regime. We build upon these findings by a…
dsld: A Socially Relevant Tool for Teaching Statistics
Aditya Mittal, Taha Abdullah, Arjun Ashok +5
The growing influence of data science in statistics education requires tools that make key concepts accessible through real-world applications. We introduce "Data Science Looks At…
Context is Key: A Benchmark for Forecasting with Essential Textual Information
Andrew Robert Williams, Arjun Ashok, Étienne Marcotte +8
Forecasting is a critical task in decision-making across numerous domains. While historical numerical data provide a start, they fail to convey the complete context for reliable an…
Lag-Llama: Towards Foundation Models for Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting
Kashif Rasul, Arjun Ashok, Andrew Robert Williams +15
Over the past years, foundation models have caused a paradigm shift in machine learning due to their unprecedented capabilities for zero-shot and few-shot generalization. However,…
TACTiS-2: Better, Faster, Simpler Attentional Copulas for Multivariate Time Series
Arjun Ashok, Étienne Marcotte, Valentina Zantedeschi +2
We introduce a new model for multivariate probabilistic time series prediction, designed to flexibly address a range of tasks including forecasting, interpolation, and their combin…