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20242026
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stat.ML2026

CausalSmith: A Formally Grounded, Self-Improving Agentic Framework for Automated Research in Causal Inference

Jiyuan Tan, Vasilis Syrgkanis

Automating theoretical research requires generating candidate results and evaluating them reliably. Models keep getting better at the first, while the second remains hard. A common…

cs.AI2026

Bucketing the Good Apples: A Method for Diagnosing and Improving Causal Abstraction

Li Puyin, Jiyuan Tan, Ahmad Jabbar +2

We present a method for diagnosing interpretation in neural networks by identifying an input subspace where a proposed interpretation is highly faithful. Our method is particularly…

stat.ME2026

Partial Identification of Policy-Relevant Treatment Effects with Instrumental Variables via Optimal Transport

Jiyuan Tan, Jose Blanchet, Vasilis Syrgkanis

Policy-Relevant Treatment Effects (PRTEs) are generally not point-identified under standard Instrumental Variable (IV) assumptions when the instrument generates limited support in…

stat.ML2026

Adaptive Estimation and Inference in Conditional Moment Models via the Discrepancy Principle

Jiyuan Tan, Vasilis Syrgkanis

We study adaptive estimation and inference in linear inverse problems defined by conditional moment restrictions. These problems are typically ill-posed, so estimators require regu…

stat.ML2026

Mirror Descent on Riemannian Manifolds

Jiaxin Jiang, Lei Shi, Jiyuan Tan

Mirror Descent (MD) is a scalable first-order method widely used in large-scale optimization, with applications in image processing, policy optimization, and neural network trainin…

cs.AI2026

CausalReasoningBenchmark: A Real-World Benchmark for Disentangled Evaluation of Causal Identification and Estimation

Ayush Sawarni, Jiyuan Tan, Vasilis Syrgkanis

Many benchmarks for automated causal inference evaluate a system's performance based on a single numerical output, such as an Average Treatment Effect (ATE). This approach conflate…