activity
20212025
most citedSinghing with Confidence: Visualising the Performance of Confidence Structures

1 citations · 1 across the 5 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

5 papers

econ.GN2025

An AI-powered Tool for Central Bank Business Liaisons: Quantitative Indicators and On-demand Insights from Firms

Nicholas Gray, Finn Lattimore, Kate McLoughlin +1

In a world of increasing policy uncertainty, central banks are relying more on soft information sources to complement traditional economic statistics and model-based forecasts. One…

cs.CY2024

Speculations on Uncertainty and Humane Algorithms

Nicholas Gray

The appreciation and utilisation of risk and uncertainty can play a key role in helping to solve some of the many ethical issues that are posed by AI. Understanding the uncertainti…

cs.MS2021

The Creation of Puffin, the Automatic Uncertainty Compiler

Nicholas Gray, Marco De Angelis, Scott Ferson

An uncertainty compiler is a tool that automatically translates original computer source code lacking explicit uncertainty analysis into code containing appropriate uncertainty rep…

stat.ME2021★ 1 cited

Singhing with Confidence: Visualising the Performance of Confidence Structures

Alexander Wimbush, Nicholas Gray, Scott Ferson

Confidence intervals are an established means of portraying uncertainty about an inferred parameter and can be generated through the use of confidence distributions. For a confiden…

stat.ME2021

Logistic Regression Through the Veil of Imprecise Data

Nicholas Gray, Scott Ferson

Logistic regression is an important statistical tool for assessing the probability of an outcome based upon some predictive variables. Standard methods can only deal with precisely…