2 papers
econ.EM2026
When Do Markets Fully Process Public Information? Evidence from Real-Time Prediction Markets
Giovanni Angelini, Luca De Angelis
How efficiently do markets update beliefs when public information arrives in rapid sequence? We use a real-time prediction market setting that combines binary payoffs, precisely ob…
econ.GN2025
Shocking concerns: public perception about climate change and the macroeconomy
Giovanni Angelini, Maria Elena Bontempi, Luca De Angelis +2
Public perceptions of climate change arguably contribute to shaping private adaptation and support for policy intervention. In this paper, we propose a novel Climate Concern Index…