collaborators

6 papers

physics.soc-ph2026

Multi-network comparison of between-farm contacts for infectious disease surveillance in swine production

Jason A. Galvis, Nicolas C. Cardenas, Gustavo Machado

Understanding how swine farms are interconnected, directly and indirectly, is essential to characterizing infectious disease transmission. This study aimed to describe the connecti…

q-bio.PE2026

A Modelling Assessment of the Impact of Control Measures on Simulated Foot-and-Mouth Disease Spread in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil

Nicolas C. Cardenas, Jacqueline Marques de Oliveira, Andre de Medeiros C. Lins +7

This study simulated the introduction of Foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) into Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil, to evaluate the effectiveness of outbreak control strategies. Our susceptible…

q-bio.PE2025

Enhancing U.S. swine farm preparedness for infectious foreign animal diseases with rapid access to biosecurity information

Christian Fleming, Kelsey Mills, Nicolas Cardenas +2

The U.S. launched the Secure Pork Supply (SPS) Plan for Continuity of Business, a voluntary program providing foreign animal disease (FAD) guidance and setting biosecurity standard…

q-bio.PE2025

First highly pathogenic avian influenza outbreak in a commercial farm in Brazil: outbreak timeline, control actions, risk analysis, and transmission modeling

Nicolas C. Cardenas, Francisco N. P. Lopes, Paulo A. S. C. de Souza +9

On May 15, 2025, Brazil reported its first highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) outbreak in a commercial poultry breeder farm in Montenegro, Rio Grande do Sul. This study prese…

q-bio.PE2025

Simulating foot-and-mouth dynamics and control in Bolivia

Nicolas C. Cardenas, Diego Viali dos Santos, Daniel Magalhaaes Lima +3

Examining the dissemination dynamics of foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) is critical for revising national response plans. We developed a stochastic SEIR metapopulation model to simula…

q-bio.PE2025

Integrating epidemiological and economic models to estimate the cost of simulated foot-and-mouth disease outbreaks in Brazil

Nicolas C. Cardenas, Taís C. de Menezes, Amanda M. Countryman +5

The introduction of foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) leads to substantial economic impacts through animal loss, decreased livestock and meat production, increased government and privat…