11 citations · 21 across the 8 of their papers we have counts for
8 papers
A method for including socio-demographic factors in social contact matrices for compartment-based epidemic models
Vincent X. Lomas, Tim Chambers, Leighton Watson +1
Socio-demographic factors influence social contact patterns and play a fundamental role in shaping the transmission dynamics of infectious diseases. However, compartment-based mode…
How complex behavioural contagion can prevent infectious diseases from becoming endemic
Michael J. Plank, Matt Ryan, Lloyd Chapman +4
Infectious disease transmission in human populations has a complex two-way interaction with changes in host behaviour. It is increasingly recognised that incorporating adaptive beh…
Multi-pathogen situational assessment and forecasting of respiratory disease in Aotearoa New Zealand
M. J. Plank, A. R. Young, K. L. Senior +5
Real-time analysis of epidemic trends and forecasts can help support public health planning and the response to seasonal respiratory disease. Here, we present two models that were…
Modelling the transmission and impact of Omicron variants of Covid-19 in different ethnicity groups in Aotearoa New Zealand
Samik Datta, Vincent X Lomas, Nicole Satherley +2
Previous pandemics, including influenza pandemics and Covid-19, have disproportionately impacted Māori and Pacific populations in Aotearoa New Zealand. The reasons for this are mul…
Modelling the interaction between ethnicity and infectious disease transmission dynamics in Aotearoa New Zealand during the first Omicron wave of the COVID-19 pandemic
Vincent X. Lomas, Tim Chambers, Michael J. Plank
During the COVID-19 pandemic, Aotearoa followed an elimination strategy followed by a mitigation strategy, which saw high success and kept health impact low. However, there were in…
Estimating excess mortality during the Covid-19 pandemic in Aotearoa New Zealand
Michael John Plank, Pubudu Senanayake, Richard Lyon
Background. The excess mortality rate in Aotearoa New Zealand during the Covid-19 pandemic is frequently estimated to be among the lowest in the world. However, to facilitate inter…
Estimation of end-of-outbreak probabilities in the presence of delayed and incomplete case reporting
M. J. Plank, W. S. Hart, J. Polonsky +3
Towards the end of an infectious disease outbreak, when a period has elapsed without new case notifications, a key question for public health policy makers is whether the outbreak…
The impact of Covid-19 vaccination in Aotearoa New Zealand: a modelling study
Samik Datta, Giorgia Vattiato, Oliver J Maclaren +3
Aotearoa New Zealand implemented a Covid-19 elimination strategy in 2020 and 2021, which enabled a large majority of the population to be vaccinated before being exposed to the vir…