4 papers
Births are difficult to predict even with rich survey and full-population register data
Elizaveta Sivak, Emily M. Cantrell, Thomas Emery +109
Major life events have proven difficult to predict. Does this reflect limits of theory, data, and algorithms, or the large role of chance? We examine one outcome - having a child w…
Bridging Predictions and Interventions: An Integrated Framework for Automated Decision-Systems
Inioluwa Deborah Raji, Lydia T. Liu, Angela Zhou +27
Automated decision systems (ADS) leverage predictions about individual future outcomes to inform consequential decision-making in organizational settings. Across various settings -…
On the Meta-Design of Allocation Problems
Unai Fischer-Abaigar, Emily Aiken, Christoph Kern +1
There is an extensive literature that studies how to find optimal policies in resource allocation problems, taking the underlying design parameters that define the allocation, such…
Bridging Prediction and Intervention Problems in Social Systems
Lydia T. Liu, Inioluwa Deborah Raji, Angela Zhou +32
Many automated decision systems (ADS) are designed to solve prediction problems -- where the goal is to learn patterns from a sample of the population and apply them to individuals…