3 papers
stat.ML2026
Beyond Point Forecasts: A Survey on Probabilistic Forecasting for Time Series and Spatiotemporal Data
Donia Besher, Rajdeep Pathak, Madhurima Panja +1
Probabilistic forecasting is central to decision-making under uncertainty, yet its methodological landscape has become increasingly fragmented across temporal and spatiotemporal fo…
econ.EM2025
Neural ARFIMA model for forecasting BRIC exchange rates with long memory
Donia Besher, Madhurima Panja, Shovon Sengupta +1
Exchange rate forecasting remains a challenging problem, particularly for emerging economies, where the observed time series exhibit pronounced long-memory dependence, nonlinear dy…
econ.EM2025
Probabilistic Forecasting of Climate Policy Uncertainty: The Role of Macro-financial Variables and Google Search Data
Donia Besher, Anirban Sengupta, Tanujit Chakraborty
Accurately forecasting Climate Policy Uncertainty (CPU) is essential for designing climate strategies that balance economic growth with environmental objectives. Elevated CPU level…