2 papers
physics.geo-ph2026
Exceedance Probabilities for Large Earthquakes From DIY Local Earthquake Ensemble Nowcasting and Forecasting
John B Rundle, Ian Baughman, Andrea Donnellan +3
This paper focuses on the problem of anticipating the local occurrence of future large earthquakes. "Local" is defined as the probability of a large earthquake occurring with a def…
physics.geo-ph2025
Non-randomness of Japan megaquakes implied by stress recovery and accumulation
K. Z. Nanjo, T. Hori, D. Iwata
Monitoring stress recovery and accumulation associated with megaquakes helps to assess their recurrence. Previous studies proposed a high likelihood of imminent recurrence for the…