Correlation-Weighted Communicability Curvature as a Structural Driver of Dengue Spread: A Bayesian Spatial Analysis of Recife (2015-2024)

Marcílio Ferreira dos Santos, Cleiton de Lima Ricardo, Andreza dos Santos Rodrigues de Melo

We investigate whether the structural connectivity of urban road networks helps explain dengue incidence in Recife, Brazil (2015--2024). For each neighborhood, we compute the avera…