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physics.ao-ph2025
Bayesian Deep Learning for Convective Initiation Nowcasting Uncertainty Estimation
Da Fan, David John Gagne, Steven J. Greybush +3
This study evaluated the probability and uncertainty forecasts of five recently proposed Bayesian deep learning methods relative to a deterministic residual neural network (ResNet)…
physics.ao-ph2023
Physically Explainable Deep Learning for Convective Initiation Nowcasting Using GOES-16 Satellite Observations
Da Fan, Steven J. Greybush, David John Gagne +1
Convection initiation (CI) nowcasting remains a challenging problem for both numerical weather prediction models and existing nowcasting algorithms. In this study, object-based pro…