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stat.ML2026

Intrinsic Information Rates of Summaries in Simulation-Based Inference

Vansh Bansal, Pradip Sharma Poudel, James G. Scott

Simulation-based inference often encodes observations into a fixed-dimensional summary , with the posterior conditioning only on . While exact preservation often requires…

stat.ML2026

Scan-Parallel Variational Inference for event-driven Latent Jump Models

Vansh Bansal, Min Chen, James G. Scott

Continuous-time latent state-space models are widely used for irregularly observed time series, typically representing uncertainty through a random initial state followed by smooth…

stat.ML2025

CoLT: The conditional localization test for assessing the accuracy of neural posterior estimates

Tianyu Chen, Vansh Bansal, James G. Scott

We consider the problem of validating whether a neural posterior estimate \( q(θ\mid x) \) is an accurate approximation to the true, unknown true posterior \( p(θ\mid x) \). Existi…

stat.ML2025

Conformal C2ST: Turning weak classifiers into strong two-sample tests

Vansh Bansal, Tianyu Chen, James G. Scott

The two-sample testing problem, a fundamental task in statistics and machine learning, seeks to determine whether two sets of samples, drawn from underlying distributions and $…

stat.ML2024

Conditional diffusions for amortized neural posterior estimation

Tianyu Chen, Vansh Bansal, James G. Scott

Neural posterior estimation (NPE), a simulation-based computational approach for Bayesian inference, has shown great success in approximating complex posterior distributions. Exist…