3 papers
stat.AP2025
Bayesian spatiotemporal modeling of passenger trip assignment in metro networks
Xiaoxu Chen, Alexandra M. Schmidt, Zhenliang Ma +1
Assigning passenger trips to specific network paths using automatic fare collection (AFC) data is a fundamental application in urban transit analysis. The task is a difficult inver…
stat.AP2024
Bayesian Inference of Time-Varying Origin-Destination Matrices from Boarding/Alighting Counts for Transit Services
Xiaoxu Chen, Zhanhong Cheng, Lijun Sun
Origin-destination (OD) demand matrices are crucial for transit agencies to design and operate transit systems. This paper presents a novel temporal Bayesian model designed to esti…
stat.AP2024
Conditional forecasting of bus travel time and passenger occupancy with Bayesian Markov regime-switching vector autoregression
Xiaoxu Chen, Zhanhong Cheng, Alexandra M. Schmidt +1
Accurately forecasting bus travel time and passenger occupancy with uncertainty is essential for both travelers and transit agencies/operators. However, existing approaches to fore…